Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are eighteen weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 12 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
7
 Pittsburgh Steelers
-185
63.7%
68.2%
65.1%
N/A
 Cleveland Browns
+170
36.3%
31.8%
35%
6
 Minnesota Vikings
-170
61.6%
71.5%
64.6%
N/A
 Chicago Bears
+155
38.4%
28.5%
35.4%
8
 Detroit Lions
-350
75.4%
45.3%
66.4%
N/A
 Indianapolis Colts
+295
24.6%
54.7%
33.6%
N/A
 New England Patriots
+275
26%
16.9%
23.3%
10
 Miami Dolphins
-315
74%
83.1%
76.7%
9
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-230
67.6%
64.6%
66.7%
N/A
 New York Giants
+200
32.4%
35.4%
33.3%
N/A
 Dallas Cowboys
+425
18.5%
20.6%
19.1%
12
 Washington Commanders
-525
81.5%
79.4%
80.9%
13
 Kansas City Chiefs
-575
82.5%
89.7%
84.7%
N/A
 Carolina Panthers
+455
17.5%
10.3%
15.3%
N/A
 Tennessee Titans
+345
21.8%
19.7%
21.2%
11
 Houston Texans
-410
78.2%
80.3%
78.8%
5
 Denver Broncos
-235
68.1%
54.5%
64%
N/A
 Las Vegas Raiders
+205
31.9%
45.5%
36%
N/A
 San Francisco 49ers
+120
44.2%
44.8%
44.4%
2
 Green Bay Packers
-135
55.8%
55.2%
55.6%
N/A
 Arizona Cardinals
-108
50%
49.3%
49.8%
1
 Seattle Seahawks
-108
50%
50.7%
50.2%
4
 Philadelphia Eagles
-145
58.2%
64.7%
60.2%
N/A
 Los Angeles Rams
+135
41.8%
35.3%
39.9%
3
 Baltimore Ravens
-150
58.6%
61.8%
59.6%
N/A
 Los Angeles Chargers
+136
41.4%
38.2%
40.4%

Results

Last Week (Week 11): Straight Up: 11-3, Points: 83.
2024-2025 Season: Straight Up: 116-50, Points: 970.
2023-2024 Season: Straight Up: 175-98, Points: 1493.
2022-2023 Season: Straight Up: 172-97-2, Points: 1515.
2021-2022 Season: Straight Up: 171-100, Points: 1517.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 159-69, Points: 1388.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 166-89, Points: 1446.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 158-80-2, Points: 1400.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2, Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94.

2024-2025 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Kansas City Chiefs 57.3% 5 Win
Week 1 Philadelphia Eagles 57.1% 4 Win
Week 1 Atlanta Falcons 57.4% 6 Loss
Week 1 Buffalo Bills 73.5% 15 Win
Week 1 Chicago Bears 64.2% 11 Win
Week 1 Cincinnati Bengals 78.2% 16 Loss
Week 1 Houston Texans 55.4% 3 Win
Week 1 Miami Dolphins 60.5% 7 Win
Week 1 New Orleans Saints 66.9% 13 Win
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 52.5% 2 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Chargers 62.1% 8 Win
Week 1 Seattle Seahawks 68.7% 14 Win
Week 1 Cleveland Browns 52.2% 1 Loss
Week 1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 63% 10 Win
Week 1 Detroit Lions 62.4% 9 Win
Week 1 San Francisco 49ers 66% 12 Win
Week 2 Miami Dolphins 54.3% 3 Loss
Week 2 Dallas Cowboys 69.4% 10 Loss
Week 2 Detroit Lions 72.7% 15 Loss
Week 2 Indianapolis Colts 59.6% 5 Loss
Week 2 New York Jets 63% 8 Win
Week 2 San Francisco 49ers 68.5% 9 Loss
Week 2 Seattle Seahawks 62.4% 7 Win
Week 2 Washington Commanders 52.8% 1 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Chargers 70.8% 14 Win
Week 2 Jacksonville Jaguars 61% 6 Loss
Week 2 Baltimore Ravens 79.2% 16 Loss
Week 2 Arizona Cardinals 53.4% 2 Win
Week 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 57.6% 4 Win
Week 2 Kansas City Chiefs 70.1% 12 Win
Week 2 Houston Texans 69.6% 11 Win
Week 2 Philadelphia Eagles 70.6% 13 Loss
Week 3 New York Jets 71.9% 14 Win
Week 3 Cleveland Browns 71.1% 12 Loss
Week 3 Tennessee Titans 59.4% 7 Loss
Week 3 Indianapolis Colts 53.1% 3 Win
Week 3 Houston Texans 55.6% 5 Loss
Week 3 New Orleans Saints 51.7% 1 Loss
Week 3 Pittsburgh Steelers 53.5% 4 Win
Week 3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 71.7% 13 Loss
Week 3 Las Vegas Raiders 69.3% 10 Loss
Week 3 Seattle Seahawks 69.2% 9 Win
Week 3 Baltimore Ravens 52% 2 Win
Week 3 San Francisco 49ers 75.6% 15 Loss
Week 3 Detroit Lions 57.9% 6 Win
Week 3 Kansas City Chiefs 63.4% 8 Win
Week 3 Buffalo Bills 69.9% 11 Win
Week 3 Cincinnati Bengals 76.7% 16 Loss
Week 4 Dallas Cowboys 65.9% 11 Win
Week 4 Atlanta Falcons 54.1% 4 Win
Week 4 Chicago Bears 60.5% 8 Win
Week 4 Green Bay Packers 54.6% 5 Loss
Week 4 Pittsburgh Steelers 54% 3 Loss
Week 4 New York Jets 73.7% 14 Loss
Week 4 Philadelphia Eagles 55.8% 7 Loss
Week 4 Cincinnati Bengals 66.2% 12 Win
Week 4 Houston Texans 68.8% 13 Win
Week 4 Arizona Cardinals 64.8% 10 Loss
Week 4 San Francisco 49ers 81.6% 16 Win
Week 4 Las Vegas Raiders 50.9% 2 Win
Week 4 Kansas City Chiefs 74.8% 15 Win
Week 4 Baltimore Ravens 55.7% 6 Win
Week 4 Miami Dolphins 50.7% 1 Loss
Week 4 Detroit Lions 63.6% 9 Win
Week 5 Atlanta Falcons 53.6% 3 Win
Week 5 Minnesota Vikings 56.2% 6 Win
Week 5 Chicago Bears 66.4% 11 Win
Week 5 Baltimore Ravens 58% 8 Win
Week 5 New England Patriots 51.1% 1 Loss
Week 5 Washington Commanders 58.6% 9 Win
Week 5 Jacksonville Jaguars 57.6% 7 Win
Week 5 Buffalo Bills 51.3% 2 Loss
Week 5 Denver Broncos 53.8% 4 Win
Week 5 San Francisco 49ers 76.1% 14 Loss
Week 5 Green Bay Packers 63.6% 10 Win
Week 5 Seattle Seahawks 70.4% 13 Loss
Week 5 Pittsburgh Steelers 54.5% 5 Loss
Week 5 Kansas City Chiefs 69.2% 12 Win
Week 6 San Francisco 49ers 62% 9 Win
Week 6 Chicago Bears 55.1% 2 Win
Week 6 Green Bay Packers 68.2% 10 Win
Week 6 Indianapolis Colts 50.1% 1 Win
Week 6 Houston Texans 73.9% 13 Win
Week 6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 56.5% 3 Win
Week 6 Philadelphia Eagles 76.4% 14 Win
Week 6 Baltimore Ravens 72.5% 12 Win
Week 6 Los Angeles Chargers 57.5% 5 Win
Week 6 Pittsburgh Steelers 59.1% 6 Win
Week 6 Detroit Lions 59.5% 7 Win
Week 6 Atlanta Falcons 70.4% 11 Win
Week 6 Cincinnati Bengals 61.1% 8 Win
Week 6 Buffalo Bills 57.4% 4 Win
Week 7 Denver Broncos 54% 4 Win
Week 7 Jacksonville Jaguars 64.1% 11 Win
Week 7 Atlanta Falcons 58.9% 8 Loss
Week 7 Buffalo Bills 78.3% 15 Win
Week 7 Cincinnati Bengals 70% 12 Win
Week 7 Green Bay Packers 56.7% 5 Win
Week 7 Indianapolis Colts 63.6% 10 Win
Week 7 Minnesota Vikings 53.4% 3 Loss
Week 7 Philadelphia Eagles 58.2% 7 Win
Week 7 Los Angeles Rams 71.4% 13 Win
Week 7 Washington Commanders 75.2% 14 Win
Week 7 San Francisco 49ers 52.9% 2 Loss
Week 7 New York Jets 50.4% 1 Loss
Week 7 Baltimore Ravens 61.9% 9 Win
Week 7 Los Angeles Chargers 57.3% 6 Loss
Week 8 Minnesota Vikings 63.3% 6 Win
Week 8 Baltimore Ravens 83.2% 16 Loss
Week 8 Detroit Lions 73.9% 11 Win
Week 8 Miami Dolphins 57.8% 4 Loss
Week 8 New York Jets 75.3% 13 Loss
Week 8 Atlanta Falcons 53.8% 2 Win
Week 8 Green Bay Packers 66.2% 7 Loss
Week 8 Houston Texans 68.4% 9 Win
Week 8 Cincinnati Bengals 54% 3 Loss
Week 8 Los Angeles Chargers 75% 12 Win
Week 8 Buffalo Bills 58.6% 5 Win
Week 8 Chicago Bears 53.4% 1 Loss
Week 8 Denver Broncos 78.2% 14 Win
Week 8 Kansas City Chiefs 81.6% 15 Win
Week 8 San Francisco 49ers 68.2% 8 Win
Week 8 Pittsburgh Steelers 73.5% 10 Win
Week 9 New York Jets 52.5% 3 Win
Week 9 Atlanta Falcons 59.1% 5 Win
Week 9 Buffalo Bills 72.3% 11 Win
Week 9 Cincinnati Bengals 77% 13 Win
Week 9 Los Angeles Chargers 54.8% 4 Win
Week 9 Tennessee Titans 59.5% 6 Win
Week 9 Washington Commanders 60.3% 7 Win
Week 9 New Orleans Saints 72% 10 Loss
Week 9 Baltimore Ravens 79.8% 15 Win
Week 9 Arizona Cardinals 51.4% 2 Win
Week 9 Philadelphia Eagles 73.9% 12 Win
Week 9 Detroit Lions 61.9% 8 Win
Week 9 Los Angeles Rams 51.3% 1 Win
Week 9 Minnesota Vikings 70.2% 9 Win
Week 9 Kansas City Chiefs 78% 14 Win
Week 10 Baltimore Ravens 71.2% 11 Win
Week 10 New York Giants 60.6% 4 Loss
Week 10 Chicago Bears 63.2% 6 Loss
Week 10 Buffalo Bills 66.2% 8 Win
Week 10 Kansas City Chiefs 80.6% 14 Win
Week 10 Atlanta Falcons 62.3% 5 Loss
Week 10 San Francisco 49ers 69.8% 10 Win
Week 10 Washington Commanders 57% 3 Loss
Week 10 Minnesota Vikings 67.4% 9 Win
Week 10 Los Angeles Chargers 76.4% 13 Win
Week 10 Philadelphia Eagles 75.4% 12 Win
Week 10 Arizona Cardinals 52.2% 1 Win
Week 10 Detroit Lions 65.1% 7 Win
Week 10 Los Angeles Rams 56.7% 2 Loss
Week 11 Philadelphia Eagles 64.1% 8 Win
Week 11 Green Bay Packers 62.3% 7 Win
Week 11 Detroit Lions 86.5% 14 Win
Week 11 Minnesota Vikings 71.9% 10 Win
Week 11 Miami Dolphins 78.9% 13 Win
Week 11 Los Angeles Rams 66.9% 9 Win
Week 11 New Orleans Saints 52.7% 1 Win
Week 11 Baltimore Ravens 62.1% 6 Loss
Week 11 New York Jets 58.2% 5 Loss
Week 11 Denver Broncos 53.6% 4 Win
Week 11 San Francisco 49ers 73.2% 11 Loss
Week 11 Buffalo Bills 52.9% 2 Win
Week 11 Los Angeles Chargers 53.1% 3 Win
Week 11 Houston Texans 74.8% 12 Win