Game: Bowl Mania
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Bowl Mania
How does it work?: The College Football bowl season runs from the beginning of December until the National Championship game in early January. There are 40+ bowl games that the contestant must select a winner. For Bowl Mania, there are two possible scoring systems that can be chosen. We describe each below.
Strategy: Our numbers in the analysis table are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.
How to Play
The college bowl pick’em game can be played under two scoring systems on ESPN. The simplest approach is to make picks for the winner of each game, and you are scored based on the number of correct picks. The second scoring system requires you to both make picks and provide your confidence by ranking the games in the order of most to least likely to be correct. This adds a little more of a twist in the scoring to makes things more interesting.
In our analysis table below, we have provided you with a good starting point for making your own picks. These are our recommended picks based on a combination of odds for each game using DRatings.
For those using the confidence based scoring system, be aware that you must make your pick and confidence before each game begins.
There is obviously some strategy involved in picking confidence since we do not know who will play in the National Championship game. For our pick on that game, we used a weighted average of all the possible scenarios to provide you with the current expectation on who is likely to win in case you want to go ahead and make all your picks and confidence selections now. Of course it’s likely better to wait on this game as far as the winner goes, but you may want to go ahead and lock the confidence position ahead of time or if you’re fully uncertain then you can always make this one have the lowest confidence.
2024-2025 College Football Bowl Mania Predictions
Confidence |
Team |
|
Implied Odds |
|
Win Prob |
3 |
Jackson State Tigers |
-125 |
51.9% |
48.4% |
50.9% |
N/A |
South Carolina State Bulldogs |
-106 |
48.1% |
51.6% |
49.2% |
41 |
South Alabama Jaguars |
-365 |
75.8% |
77.5% |
76.3% |
N/A |
Western Michigan Broncos |
+300 |
24.2% |
22.5% |
23.7% |
14 |
Memphis Tigers |
-125 |
53.2% |
56.9% |
54.3% |
N/A |
West Virginia Mountaineers |
+105 |
46.8% |
43.1% |
45.7% |
N/A |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers |
+235 |
28.6% |
24.8% |
27.5% |
34 |
James Madison Dukes |
-290 |
71.4% |
75.2% |
72.5% |
5 |
California Golden Bears |
-125 |
53.2% |
47.8% |
51.6% |
N/A |
UNLV Rebels |
+105 |
46.8% |
52.2% |
48.4% |
29 |
Georgia Southern Eagles |
-200 |
64.3% |
71% |
66.3% |
N/A |
Sam Houston State Bearkats |
+170 |
35.7% |
29% |
33.7% |
11 |
Ohio Bobcats |
-125 |
53.2% |
55.5% |
53.9% |
N/A |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks |
+105 |
46.8% |
44.5% |
46.1% |
N/A |
Tulane Green Wave |
+350 |
21.4% |
26.7% |
23% |
43 |
Florida Gators |
-450 |
78.6% |
73.3% |
77% |
N/A |
Indiana Hoosiers |
+260 |
27.4% |
28% |
27.6% |
33 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
-280 |
72.6% |
72% |
72.4% |
N/A |
SMU Mustangs |
+280 |
26% |
26.3% |
26.1% |
39 |
Penn State Nittany Lions |
-300 |
74% |
73.7% |
73.9% |
N/A |
Clemson Tigers |
+335 |
22.3% |
20.6% |
21.8% |
44 |
Texas Longhorns |
-400 |
77.7% |
79.4% |
78.2% |
N/A |
Tennessee Volunteers |
+240 |
28.7% |
21.5% |
26.5% |
37 |
Ohio State Buckeyes |
-270 |
71.3% |
78.5% |
73.5% |
N/A |
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers |
+185 |
33.6% |
38.3% |
35% |
27 |
UTSA Roadrunners |
-225 |
66.4% |
61.7% |
65% |
8 |
Northern Illinois Huskies |
-125 |
53.2% |
51% |
52.5% |
N/A |
Fresno State Bulldogs |
+105 |
46.8% |
49% |
47.5% |
N/A |
South Florida Bulls |
+115 |
44.7% |
46.9% |
45.4% |
16 |
San Jose State Spartans |
-135 |
55.3% |
53.1% |
54.6% |
35 |
Pittsburgh Panthers |
-320 |
73.3% |
72.3% |
73% |
N/A |
Toledo Rockets |
+260 |
26.7% |
27.7% |
27% |
N/A |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights |
+235 |
28.6% |
27.8% |
28.4% |
32 |
Kansas State Wildcats |
-290 |
71.4% |
72.2% |
71.6% |
N/A |
Arkansas State Red Wolves |
+185 |
33.6% |
75.5% |
46.2% |
10 |
Bowling Green Falcons |
-225 |
66.4% |
24.5% |
53.8% |
38 |
Oklahoma Sooners |
-290 |
71% |
80% |
73.7% |
N/A |
Navy Midshipmen |
+230 |
29% |
20% |
26.3% |
12 |
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets |
-130 |
53.7% |
54.6% |
54% |
N/A |
Vanderbilt Commodores |
+105 |
46.3% |
45.4% |
46% |
N/A |
Texas Tech Red Raiders |
+110 |
45.7% |
46.2% |
45.9% |
13 |
Arkansas Razorbacks |
-130 |
54.3% |
53.8% |
54.2% |
25 |
Syracuse Orange |
-225 |
66.4% |
58.1% |
63.9% |
N/A |
Washington State Cougars |
+185 |
33.6% |
41.9% |
36.1% |
20 |
Texas A&M Aggies |
-140 |
56.2% |
55.2% |
55.9% |
N/A |
USC Trojans |
+120 |
43.8% |
44.8% |
44.1% |
N/A |
Connecticut Huskies |
+160 |
37% |
40% |
37.9% |
24 |
North Carolina Tar Heels |
-190 |
63% |
60% |
62.1% |
N/A |
Boston College Eagles |
+140 |
40.1% |
36.7% |
39.1% |
23 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers |
-165 |
59.9% |
63.3% |
60.9% |
N/A |
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns |
+315 |
23.7% |
22.6% |
23.4% |
42 |
TCU Horned Frogs |
-345 |
76.3% |
77.4% |
76.6% |
N/A |
Iowa State Cyclones |
+103 |
48.1% |
48.5% |
48.2% |
7 |
Miami Hurricanes |
-113 |
51.9% |
51.5% |
51.8% |
6 |
Miami OH RedHawks |
-120 |
52.2% |
50.6% |
51.7% |
N/A |
Colorado State Rams |
+100 |
47.8% |
49.4% |
48.3% |
N/A |
East Carolina Pirates |
+170 |
35.7% |
32% |
34.6% |
28 |
NC State Wolfpack |
-200 |
64.3% |
68% |
65.4% |
N/A |
BYU Cougars |
+115 |
44.7% |
47.7% |
45.6% |
15 |
Colorado Buffaloes |
-135 |
55.3% |
52.3% |
54.4% |
N/A |
Marshall Thundering Herd |
+230 |
29.8% |
31.5% |
30.3% |
31 |
Army Black Knights |
-250 |
70.2% |
68.5% |
69.7% |
N/A |
Iowa Hawkeyes |
+110 |
45.7% |
51% |
47.3% |
9 |
Missouri Tigers |
-130 |
54.3% |
49% |
52.7% |
30 |
Alabama Crimson Tide |
-425 |
77.5% |
51.3% |
69.6% |
N/A |
Michigan Wolverines |
+325 |
22.5% |
48.7% |
30.4% |
26 |
Louisville Cardinals |
-190 |
63% |
68.8% |
64.7% |
N/A |
Washington Huskies |
+160 |
37% |
31.2% |
35.3% |
46 |
South Carolina Gamecocks |
-425 |
77.5% |
82.1% |
78.9% |
N/A |
Illinois Fighting Illini |
+325 |
22.5% |
17.9% |
21.1% |
N/A |
Baylor Bears |
+115 |
44.7% |
44.4% |
44.6% |
19 |
LSU Tigers |
-135 |
55.3% |
55.6% |
55.4% |
40 |
SMU/PSU |
-330 |
74% |
76.7% |
74.8% |
N/A |
Boise State Broncos |
+270 |
26% |
23.2% |
25.2% |
45 |
CLEM/TEX |
-410 |
77.6% |
80.3% |
78.4% |
N/A |
Arizona State Sun Devils |
+330 |
22.4% |
19.6% |
21.6% |
N/A |
TENN/OSU |
+118 |
44.2% |
45.8% |
44.7% |
18 |
Oregon Ducks |
-138 |
55.8% |
54.1% |
55.3% |
N/A |
IND/ND |
+116 |
44.5% |
46.2% |
45% |
17 |
Georgia Bulldogs |
-136 |
55.5% |
53.7% |
55% |
N/A |
Duke Blue Devils |
+360 |
20.8% |
14.8% |
19% |
47 |
Ole Miss Rebels |
-480 |
79.2% |
85.2% |
81% |
N/A |
North Texas Mean Green |
+275 |
25.6% |
29% |
26.6% |
36 |
Texas State Bobcats |
-345 |
74.4% |
71% |
73.4% |
22 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers |
-170 |
60.7% |
59.3% |
60.3% |
N/A |
Virginia Tech Hokies |
+145 |
39.3% |
40.7% |
39.7% |
N/A |
Buffalo Bulls |
+115 |
44.7% |
41.3% |
43.7% |
21 |
Liberty Flames |
-135 |
55.3% |
58.7% |
56.3% |
N/A |
SMU/PSU/BSU |
-110 |
50% |
49% |
49.7% |
1 |
IND/ND/UGA |
-110 |
50% |
51% |
50.3% |
N/A |
CLEM/TEX/ASU |
-110 |
50% |
48% |
49.4% |
2 |
TENN/OSU/ORE |
-110 |
50% |
52% |
50.6% |
4 |
Orange Bowl Winner |
-110 |
50% |
55% |
51.5% |
N/A |
Cotton Bowl Winner |
-110 |
50% |
45% |
48.5% |
Results
2023-2024 Bowl Season Pick Results
Pick |
Probability |
Confidence |
Result |
Georgia Southern Eagles |
58% |
13 |
Loss |
Florida A&M Rattlers |
65.5% |
25 |
Win |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks |
53.9% |
7 |
Win |
Appalachian State Mountaineers |
63.3% |
23 |
Win |
New Mexico State Aggies |
56.7% |
12 |
Loss |
UCLA Bruins |
54.5% |
10 |
Win |
Texas Tech Red Raiders |
58.6% |
15 |
Win |
Old Dominion Monarchs |
52% |
4 |
Loss |
UTSA Roadrunners |
74.4% |
33 |
Win |
Syracuse Orange |
61.8% |
19 |
Loss |
UCF Knights |
67.4% |
28 |
Loss |
Arkansas State Red Wolves |
51.9% |
3 |
Loss |
Troy Trojans |
72.5% |
31 |
Loss |
James Madison Dukes |
60% |
16 |
Loss |
Georgia State Panthers |
52.3% |
5 |
Win |
South Alabama Jaguars |
86.2% |
42 |
Win |
Utah Utes |
74.3% |
32 |
Loss |
San Jose State Spartans |
75.9% |
37 |
Loss |
Minnesota Golden Gophers |
66.5% |
26 |
Win |
Texas State Bobcats |
62.1% |
21 |
Win |
Kansas Jayhawks |
79.9% |
39 |
Win |
Virginia Tech Hokies |
69.3% |
30 |
Win |
West Virginia Mountaineers |
53.7% |
6 |
Win |
Louisville Cardinals |
68% |
29 |
Loss |
Texas A&M Aggies |
63.7% |
24 |
Loss |
SMU Mustangs |
79.4% |
38 |
Loss |
Miami Hurricanes |
58.2% |
14 |
Loss |
Kansas State Wildcats |
63.2% |
22 |
Win |
Arizona Wildcats |
54.3% |
8 |
Win |
Clemson Tigers |
67.2% |
27 |
Win |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
75.8% |
36 |
Win |
Iowa State Cyclones |
74.8% |
34 |
Loss |
Missouri Tigers |
54.4% |
9 |
Win |
Penn State Nittany Lions |
60.6% |
17 |
Loss |
Auburn Tigers |
51% |
2 |
Loss |
Georgia Bulldogs |
83.4% |
41 |
Win |
Wyoming Cowboys |
50.9% |
1 |
Win |
LSU Tigers |
81.5% |
40 |
Win |
Oregon Ducks |
86.7% |
43 |
Win |
Tennessee Volunteers |
75.1% |
35 |
Win |
Michigan Wolverines |
56.1% |
11 |
Win |
Texas Longhorns |
60.8% |
18 |
Loss |
MICH/ALA |
62% |
20 |
Win |
2023-2024 College Football Bowl Mania Results
Total Possible Points (TPP): |
946 |
Expected Points: |
669.4 |
Actual Points: |
575 |
Point Diff: |
-94.4 |
Projected Wins: |
28.0 |
Actual Wins: |
25 |
Win Diff: |
-3.0 |
Projected Losses: |
15.0 |
Actual Losses: |
18 |
2022-2023 College Football Bowl Mania Results
Total Possible Points (TPP): |
946 |
Expected Points: |
661.5 |
Actual Points: |
598 |
Point Diff: |
-63.5 |
Projected Wins: |
27.9 |
Actual Wins: |
27 |
Win Diff: |
-0.9 |
Projected Losses: |
15.1 |
Actual Losses: |
16 |
2019-2020 College Football Bowl Mania Results
Total Possible Points (TPP): |
861 |
Expected Points: |
615.1 |
Actual Points: |
672 |
Point Diff: |
+56.9 |
Projected Wins: |
27.0 |
Actual Wins: |
32 |
Win Diff: |
-5.0 |
Projected Losses: |
14.0 |
Actual Losses: |
9 |
2018-2019 College Football Bowl Mania Results
Total Possible Points (TPP): |
861 |
Expected Points: |
583.9 |
Actual Points: |
461 |
Point Diff: |
-122.9 |
Projected Wins: |
26.0 |
Actual Wins: |
20 |
Win Diff: |
-6.0 |
Projected Losses: |
15.0 |
Actual Losses: |
20 |
2017-2018 College Football Bowl Mania Results
Total Possible Points (TPP): |
861 |
Expected Points: |
589.4 |
Actual Points: |
494 |
Point Diff: |
-95.4 |
Projected Wins: |
26.0 |
Actual Wins: |
24 |
Win Diff: |
-2.0 |
Projected Losses: |
15.0 |
Actual Losses: |
17 |
2016-2017 College Football Bowl Mania Results
Total Possible Points (TPP): |
903 |
Expected Points: |
645.2 |
Actual Points: |
615 |
Point Diff: |
-30.2 |
Projected Wins: |
28.0 |
Actual Wins: |
26 |
Win Diff: |
-2.0 |
Projected Losses: |
14.0 |
Actual Losses: |
16 |
2015-2016 College Football Bowl Mania Results
Total Possible Points (TPP): |
903 |
Expected Points: |
626.3 |
Actual Points: |
678 |
Point Diff: |
+51.7 |
Projected Wins: |
27.3 |
Actual Wins: |
29 |
Win Diff: |
+1.7 |
Projected Losses: |
14.7 |
Actual Losses: |
13 |